Snowie Professional Edition Version 1.1 HTML Export Game 03

Move 1 Orange
		Pip: 167

		Pip: 167

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	24/23 13/9	-0.002
	2	3	13/8	-0.025 (-0.022)
	3	3	24/20 24/23	-0.028 (-0.025)

Move 1 White
		Pip: 167

		Pip: 162

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	24/21 6/2*	-0.107
	2	3	13/9 13/10	-0.109 (-0.001)
	3	3	24/20 13/10	-0.116 (-0.008)

Move 2 Orange
		Pip: 160

		Pip: 164

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	bar/23* 24/21	0.119
	2	3	bar/23*/20	0.116 (-0.003)
	3	3	bar/23* 9/6	0.096 (-0.023)

Move 2 White
		Pip: 183

		Pip: 159

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	bar/21 8/4(2) 6/2	0.108
	2	3	bar/21 24/16* 8/4*	0.088 (-0.020)
	3	3	bar/21 24/16* 13/9	0.088 (-0.021)

Move 3 Orange
		Pip: 167

		Pip: 165

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	bar/22 bar/23*	0.134

Move 3 White
		Pip: 190

		Pip: 160

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	bar/21 24/16* 8/4	0.011
	2	3	bar/21 24/16* 13/9	-0.002 (-0.013)
*	3	3	bar/21 24/16* 6/2*	-0.027 (-0.038)

Move 4 Orange
		Pip: 174

		Pip: 178

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	bar/23* bar/24	0.180

Move 4 White
		Pip: 197

		Pip: 175

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	bar/22 16/13 13/10(2)	-0.152
	2	3	bar/22 13/10(3)	-0.189 (-0.037)
	3	3	bar/22 13/10(2) 8/5	-0.196 (-0.045)

Move 5 Orange
		Pip: 185

		Pip: 175

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	24/17*	0.145
	2	3	22/17* 13/11	0.111 (-0.034)
	3	3	22/17* 8/6	0.062 (-0.084)

Move 5 White
		Pip: 202

		Pip: 168

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	bar/24 22/18	-0.206
	2	3	bar/20	-0.223 (-0.018)
	3	3	bar/21 22/21	-0.237 (-0.031)

Move 6 Orange
		Pip: 197

		Pip: 168

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.202
	0.5% 14.7% 57.0% 43.0% 8.9% 0.2%
Double decision	Good enough:	0%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.205	0.206	0.552
Proper cube action: No double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	23/17 6/3	0.177
	2	3	17/8	0.172 (-0.005)
	3	3	23/17 8/5	0.105 (-0.072)

Move 6 White
		Pip: 197

		Pip: 159

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	18/10	-0.221
	2	3	21/18 10/5	-0.224 (-0.003)
	3	3	21/16 21/18	-0.269 (-0.048)

Move 7 Orange
		Pip: 189

		Pip: 159

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.219
	0.5% 14.6% 58.0% 42.0% 8.9% 0.2%
Double decision	Good enough:	0%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.222	0.223	0.552
Proper cube action: No double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	22/16 6/3	0.210
	2	3	22/13	0.165 (-0.045)
*	3	3	8/2 6/3	0.146 (-0.063)

Alert: Blunder (0.063)

I considered I need my 3 point for structure. But the 6 I palyed was awful. I need a spare on my 8 both for construction and for flexibility, a hit on my 2 is costly, I dont, need my 2 point, I need to extricate my straggler both for flexibility and to disengage.

Move 7 White
		Pip: 189

		Pip: 150

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	21/10	-0.161
	2	3	21/16 13/7	-0.189 (-0.029)
	3	3	24/13	-0.215 (-0.054)

Move 8 Orange
		Pip: 178

		Pip: 150

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.152
	0.5% 13.8% 55.4% 44.6% 9.6% 0.3%
Double decision	Good enough:	0%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.154	0.155	0.550
Proper cube action: No double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	13/8	0.113
	2	3	22/17	0.100 (-0.013)
	3	3	13/9 2/1*	0.066 (-0.047)

Move 8 White
		Pip: 178

		Pip: 145

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	13/7 10/6	-0.147
	2	3	10/4 10/6	-0.197 (-0.050)
*	3	3	13/3*	-0.203 (-0.056)

Alert: Blunder (0.056)

Move 9 Orange
		Pip: 168

		Pip: 148

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	bar/22* 2/1*	0.293
	2	2	bar/24 17/16(2) 2/1*	0.176 (-0.116)
	3	2	bar/22* 3/2	0.169 (-0.124)

Move 9 White
		Pip: 191

		Pip: 144

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	bar/20 bar/23	-0.276

Move 10 Orange
		Pip: 184

		Pip: 144

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.257
	0.7% 18.1% 58.0% 42.0% 8.8% 0.2%
Double decision	Good enough:	5%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.263	0.264	0.557
Proper cube action: No double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	8/5* 6/1	0.206
*	2	3	22/14	0.176 (-0.031)
	3	3	22/17 6/3	0.174 (-0.032)

I still like my purer play better. I need a flexible position and I do not care about safetying my blot on the ace point or attack whith small forces on my 5 point.

Move 10 White
		Pip: 184

		Pip: 136

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	20/14 13/11*	-0.128
	2	3	13/11*/5	-0.145 (-0.017)
	3	3	21/15 13/11*	-0.161 (-0.033)

Move 11 Orange
		Pip: 176

		Pip: 147

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.124
	0.6% 16.0% 53.8% 46.2% 11.3% 0.4%
Double decision	Good enough:	0%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.127	0.128	0.552
Proper cube action: No double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	Can't move	0.024

Move 11 White
		Pip: 176

		Pip: 147

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	23/14	0.004
	2	3	21/15 14/11	-0.014 (-0.018)
*	3	3	14/11 10/4	-0.034 (-0.038)

Move 12 Orange
		Pip: 167

		Pip: 147

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	Can't move	-0.053

Move 12 White
		Pip: 167

		Pip: 147

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	23/18	-0.010
	2	3	10/5	-0.024 (-0.013)
	3	3	23/21 10/7	-0.024 (-0.014)

Move 13 Orange
		Pip: 162

		Pip: 147

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	bar/20 13/3 6/1	0.039
	2	3	bar/20 13/8(3)	-0.043 (-0.081)
	3	2	bar/20 13/8 8/3(2)	-0.094 (-0.133)

Move 13 White
		Pip: 162

		Pip: 127

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	21/20(2) 6/5*(2)	-0.081
	2	3	10/9(2) 6/5*(2)	-0.115 (-0.035)
	3	3	11/9(2)	-0.130 (-0.049)

Move 14 Orange
		Pip: 158

		Pip: 132

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	bar/19	0.082
*	2	3	bar/23 8/4	0.044 (-0.038)
	3	1	bar/23 17/13	-0.150 (-0.232)

Moving the back checker has merits here, but I was disgusted at leaving a blot on his platinum point.

Move 14 White
		Pip: 158

		Pip: 126

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	18/10	-0.047
	2	2	18/16 10/4	-0.144 (-0.097)
	3	3	20/14 20/18	-0.147 (-0.101)

Move 15 Orange
		Pip: 150

		Pip: 126

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	13/8	-0.093
	2	3	6/3 6/4	-0.105 (-0.012)
	3	3	4/1 3/1	-0.164 (-0.071)

Move 15 White
		Pip: 150

		Pip: 121

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.088
	0.5% 12.3% 53.9% 46.1% 11.3% 0.4%
Double decision	Good enough:	2%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.088	0.088	0.551
Proper cube action: No double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	10/5 4/2*	-0.010
	2	2	10/3	-0.115 (-0.104)
	3	2	13/11 10/5	-0.119 (-0.109)

Move 16 Orange
		Pip: 143

		Pip: 123

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	bar/22 13/7	0.031
	2	3	bar/19 13/10	-0.018 (-0.049)
	3	3	bar/22 8/2	-0.086 (-0.117)

Move 16 White
		Pip: 143

		Pip: 114

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	10/9 5/3*/2	0.160
	2	3	13/12 5/3*/2	0.149 (-0.011)
	3	3	11/10 5/3*/2	0.072 (-0.088)

Move 17 Orange
		Pip: 139

		Pip: 117

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	bar/17	0.020
	2	2	bar/22 7/2	-0.111 (-0.131)
	3	1	bar/22 8/3	-0.318 (-0.338)

Move 17 White
		Pip: 139

		Pip: 109

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	11/6 11/10	-0.195
	2	3	9/3	-0.214 (-0.020)
*	3	3	10/5 10/9	-0.216 (-0.021)

Move 18 Orange
		Pip: 133

		Pip: 109

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.216
	0.4% 7.8% 59.8% 40.2% 5.9% 0.3%
Double decision	Good enough:	0%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.217	0.217	0.546
Proper cube action: No double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	8/4 7/6	0.266
	2	2	7/2	0.168 (-0.097)
	3	2	8/4 3/2	0.134 (-0.132)

Move 18 White
		Pip: 133

		Pip: 104

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	11/3(2)	-0.118
	2	3	9/1(2)	-0.197 (-0.079)
	3	2	13/9(2) 11/7(2)	-0.220 (-0.102)

Move 19 Orange
		Pip: 117

		Pip: 104

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	17/9	0.061
	2	2	6/1 4/1	-0.098 (-0.159)
	3	2	17/14 6/1	-0.106 (-0.167)

Move 19 White
		Pip: 117

		Pip: 96

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	5/2	-0.313
	2	3	9/6	-0.322 (-0.008)
	3	3	9/7 5/4	-0.347 (-0.034)

Move 20 Orange
		Pip: 114

		Pip: 96

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.311
	0.2% 6.2% 64.4% 35.6% 4.0% 0.1%
Double decision	Good enough:	8%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.312	0.312	0.547
Proper cube action: No double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	9/6 3/2	0.286
	2	2	9/8 4/1	0.208 (-0.078)
	3	2	9/6 4/3	0.207 (-0.078)

Move 20 White
		Pip: 114

		Pip: 92

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	9/3 9/4	-0.304
	2	2	13/2	-0.452 (-0.148)
	3	2	20/9	-0.453 (-0.149)

Move 21 Orange
		Pip: 103

		Pip: 92

21.	Orange	Double

	White	Take

Cube action equity		Alert: Wrong double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.343
	0.3% 7.3% 65.0% 35.0% 3.2% 0.1%
Double decision	Good enough:	16%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.345	0.346	0.547
Proper cube action: No double, take

I am a favorite, but 2 point contact is an easy take. Holding me from my five point gards him from gammons. Doubling here is an apparent mistake as I can double next turn more profitably.

Move 22 Orange
		Pip: 103

		Pip: 92

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	6/2	0.388
	2	2	6/3 2/1	0.281 (-0.108)
	3	2	6/3 4/3	0.170 (-0.218)

Move 22 White
		Pip: 103

		Pip: 88

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	20/18(2) 13/11(2)	-0.258
	2	3	13/9(2)	-0.280 (-0.022)
	3	3	20/16(2)	-0.280 (-0.022)

Move 23 Orange
		Pip: 95

		Pip: 88

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	8/4 8/5	0.208
*	2	3	6/2 6/3	0.137 (-0.072)
	3	3	6/2 4/1	0.122 (-0.086)

Alert: Blunder (0.072)

I must not destroy two assets (race and board) at the same time. If I play 8/5,8/4 only some 6s will leave a shot next turn.

Move 23 White
		Pip: 95

		Pip: 81

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	4/1 2/1	-0.032
	2	1	4/1 3/2	-0.224 (-0.192)
	3	1	18/15 2/1	-0.313 (-0.281)

Move 24 Orange
		Pip: 91

		Pip: 81

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	8/3 8/6	0.134
*	2	3	6/1 3/1	0.056 (-0.078)
	3	1	6/1 4/2	-0.164 (-0.297)

The same thinking applies here

Move 24 White
		Pip: 91

		Pip: 74

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	18/11	-0.055
	2	3	11/5 11/10	-0.130 (-0.075)
	3	2	11/5 3/2	-0.172 (-0.117)

Move 25 Orange
		Pip: 84

		Pip: 74

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	8/4 8/5	-0.066
	2	1	17/10	-0.345 (-0.279)
	3	1	8/1	-0.362 (-0.296)

Move 25 White
		Pip: 84

		Pip: 67

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	11/6 3/1	0.158
	2	3	11/4	0.129 (-0.029)
	3	3	18/16 11/6	0.054 (-0.103)

Move 26 Orange
		Pip: 77

		Pip: 67

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	5/1 4/1	-0.101
	2	2	17/10	-0.288 (-0.187)
	3	1	17/13 5/2	-0.624 (-0.523)

Move 26 White
		Pip: 77

		Pip: 60

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	11/1(2)	0.239
	2	3	18/13 11/6(2) 6/1	0.164 (-0.075)
	3	1	18/13 11/6 6/1(2)	-0.231 (-0.470)

Move 27 Orange
		Pip: 57

		Pip: 60

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	17/9	-0.398
	2	3	17/12 17/14	-0.466 (-0.068)
	3	1	17/12 4/1	-0.554 (-0.157)

Move 27 White
		Pip: 57

		Pip: 52

	White	Double

28.	Orange	Take

Cube action equity		Alert: Wrong double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.388
	0.2% 4.3% 67.3% 32.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Double decision	Good enough:	87%
	Too good to double:	2%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.391	0.380	0.568
Proper cube action: No double, take

I was nervous about my doubling mistake and my bear in mistakes, but I knew to take this. Meyburg could redouble next turn too.

Move 28 White
		Pip: 57

		Pip: 52

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	18/13 6/5	-0.118
	2	3	18/12	-0.135 (-0.017)
	3	3	18/13 5/4	-0.195 (-0.078)

Alert: Anti-joker (0.518)

Move 29 Orange
		Pip: 51

		Pip: 52

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0.120
	0.0% 0.2% 56.1% 43.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Double decision	Good enough:	28%
	Too good to double:	0%
Take decision	Current Cube	Doubled Cube	Borderline
Equities	0.120	0.121	0.537
Proper cube action: No double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	9/5	-0.499
	2	3	17/13	-0.532 (-0.032)
	3	3	17/14 9/8	-0.544 (-0.044)

Alert: Anti-joker (0.765)

Move 29 White
		Pip: 51

		Pip: 48

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	13/6	0.321
	2	3	13/7 5/4	0.247 (-0.074)
	3	2	13/7 4/3	0.231 (-0.090)

Move 30 Orange
		Pip: 44

		Pip: 48

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	17/13	-0.625
	2	1	17/14 4/3	-0.651 (-0.027)
	3	1	17/14 5/4	-0.653 (-0.028)

Alert: Anti-joker (0.317)

Move 30 White
		Pip: 44

		Pip: 44

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	6/off 5/off(3)	0.939

Alert: Joker (0.315)

Move 31 Orange
		Pip: 23

		Pip: 44

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	1	13/9 5/3 4/2	-0.975
	2	1	13/9 4/2(2)	-0.978 (-0.002)
*	6	D	13/5	-0.982 (-0.007)

Move 31 White
		Pip: 23

		Pip: 36

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	4/off(2)	0.980

Move 32 Orange
		Pip: 15

		Pip: 36

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	5/off(2)	-0.988

Move 32 White
		Pip: 15

		Pip: 26

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	2/off 1/off	0.985
	2	D	3/off	0.985 (-0.000)
	3	D	2/off 2/1	0.928 (-0.057)

Move 33 Orange
		Pip: 12

		Pip: 26

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	4/off(2) 3/off(2)	-0.911

Move 33 White
		Pip: 12

		Pip: 12

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	3/off(2)	0.898

Move 34 Orange
		Pip: 6

		Pip: 12

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	2/off(2)	-0.961

Move 34 White
		Pip: 6

		Pip: 8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	2/off 1/off	0.954

Move 35 Orange
		Pip: 3

		Pip: 8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	2/off 1/off	-1.000

Move 35 White
		Pip: 3

		Pip: 5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	1/off(2)	1.000

Move 36 Orange
		Pip: 1

		Pip: 5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	1/off(2)	-1.000

Move 36 White
		Pip: 1

		Pip: 3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	1/off	1.000

Michael Meyburg wins 4 points.

Game 3 statistics
Player	Svilo	Michael Meyburg
Overall	0.737	0.334
Rating	expert	world class
Error rate	0.922	0.568
Nb errors (Nb blunders)	5 (2)	4 (1)
Luck rate (Nb joker)	-0.883 (1)	0.883 (3)
Nb unforced moves	25	27
Nb wrong double	1 (DP: 3.00 TG: 0.00)	1 (DP: 0.51 TG: 0.00)
Nb missed double	0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00)	0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00)
Overall doubling error	1 (DP: 3.00 TG: 0.00)	1 (DP: 0.51 TG: 0.00)
Nb wrong take	0 (0.00)	0 (0.00)
Nb wrong pass	0 (0.00)	0 (0.00)
Overall take error	0 (0.00)	0 (0.00)

This file has been generated by Snowie Professional EditionVersion 1.1, a product of Oasya SA
Output date: 10:05:27 AM, 12/4/98